Managing Climate Change for Wheat Production: An Evidence from Southern Punjab, Pakistan

Abstract

The current research study was conducted to estimate the impact of climate change on wheat production by using panel data from 1998-2014.  For this purpose four districts were selected from southern Punjab, Pakistan. Panel model of fixed effect (FE) was estimated at region level for wheat productivity utilizing climatic and non-climatic variables based on season. The conclusion of the study showed that non-climatic, i.e. inputs, number of tractors, area under wheat, number of tube wells and fertilizer consumption in each district have significant impact on the wheat production. The fixed effect model results revealed that the increase in temperature has significance impact on the month of the November and January, while it showed negative impact in the month of April. The results also showed a non-linear relationship of precipitation for the months of April and November.